Stock Analysis

Port of Tauranga's (NZSE:POT) Dividend Will Be Increased To NZ$0.088

NZSE:POT
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The board of Port of Tauranga Limited (NZSE:POT) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 1st of October to NZ$0.088. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 2.2%, which is below the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Port of Tauranga

Port of Tauranga Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. At the time of the last dividend payment, Port of Tauranga was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 125% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 5.0%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 104%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.

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NZSE:POT Historic Dividend September 12th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2011, the dividend has gone from NZ$0.06 to NZ$0.14. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.4% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Port of Tauranga might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

We Could See Port of Tauranga's Dividend Growing

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see Port of Tauranga has been growing its earnings per share at 5.7% a year over the past five years. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.

Port of Tauranga's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Port of Tauranga's payments are rock solid. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 5 Port of Tauranga analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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