Stock Analysis

Is Colonial Motor (NZSE:CMO) Using Too Much Debt?

NZSE:CMO
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that The Colonial Motor Company Limited (NZSE:CMO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Colonial Motor

How Much Debt Does Colonial Motor Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Colonial Motor had debt of NZ$101.3m, up from NZ$93.3m in one year. However, it does have NZ$14.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NZ$86.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NZSE:CMO Debt to Equity History August 16th 2021

A Look At Colonial Motor's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Colonial Motor had liabilities of NZ$164.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of NZ$17.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NZ$14.7m and NZ$39.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NZ$127.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Colonial Motor has a market capitalization of NZ$326.9m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Colonial Motor's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.7 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 14.4 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Colonial Motor grew its EBIT by 40% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Colonial Motor will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Colonial Motor generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Colonial Motor's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Colonial Motor's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Colonial Motor is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NZSE:CMO

Colonial Motor

Owns and operates franchised motor vehicle dealerships in New Zealand.

Slight with imperfect balance sheet.

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