It's not a stretch to say that Tower Limited's (NZSE:TWR) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Insurance industry in New Zealand, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Tower
How Has Tower Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Tower as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tower.How Is Tower's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Tower's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 73% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should demonstrate the company's robustness, generating growth of 9.1% per year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the rest of the industry predicted to shrink by 1.1% per year, that would be a fantastic result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Tower's P/S trades in-line with its industry peers. It looks like most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve positive future growth in the face of a shrinking broader industry.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Tower currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its growth forecasts are potentially beating a struggling industry. Given the glowing revenue forecasts, we can only assume potential risks are what might be capping the P/S ratio at its current levels. One such risk is that the company may not live up to analysts' revenue trajectories in tough industry conditions. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Tower that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NZSE:TWR
Tower
Provides general insurance products in New Zealand and the Pacific Islands.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.