Stock Analysis

Is PGG Wrightson (NZSE:PGW) Using Too Much Debt?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, PGG Wrightson Limited (NZSE:PGW) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is PGG Wrightson's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2025 PGG Wrightson had NZ$88.2m of debt, an increase on NZ$63.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has NZ$2.61m in cash leading to net debt of about NZ$85.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NZSE:PGW Debt to Equity History October 10th 2025

A Look At PGG Wrightson's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that PGG Wrightson had liabilities of NZ$199.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of NZ$156.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NZ$2.61m as well as receivables valued at NZ$234.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NZ$118.8m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of NZ$194.0m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on PGG Wrightson's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

Check out our latest analysis for PGG Wrightson

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

PGG Wrightson has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.7 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Looking on the bright side, PGG Wrightson boosted its EBIT by a silky 63% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since PGG Wrightson will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, PGG Wrightson produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On our analysis PGG Wrightson's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. To be specific, it seems about as good at covering its interest expense with its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about PGG Wrightson's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with PGG Wrightson , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.