Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited

NZSE:FCG Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$7.1b

Fonterra Co-operative Group Valuation

Is FCG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FCG (NZ$4.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NZ$10.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FCG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCG?

Key metric: As FCG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FCG. This is calculated by dividing FCG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FCG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6x
EarningsNZ$1.17b
Market CapNZ$7.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FCG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FCG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.5x
ATM a2 Milk
27.2x12.6%NZ$4.6b
SAN Sanford
19.7x16.9%NZ$387.1m
NZK New Zealand King Salmon Investments
5x-3.5%NZ$118.4m
PPB PPB Group Berhad
14.1x10.8%RM 18.4b
FCG Fonterra Co-operative Group
6xn/aNZ$7.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FCG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FCG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FCG 6.0xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FCG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the Global Food industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FCG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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