Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited

NZSE:CHI Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$582.6m

Channel Infrastructure NZ Valuation

Is CHI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHI (NZ$1.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NZ$2.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CHI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.3x
PEG Ratio8.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.7x
2734 SALA
8.3xn/aJP¥50.7b
JNOS Slavneft-Yaroslavnefteorgsintez
7xn/a₽16.5b
2030 Saudi Arabian Refineries
164.8xn/aر.س1.3b
NZO New Zealand Oil & Gas
6.7xn/aNZ$96.3m
CHI Channel Infrastructure NZ
21.1x2.5%NZ$582.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the peer average (59.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the Oceanic Oil and Gas industry average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CHI's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNZ$1.54
NZ$1.69
+10.0%
4.5%NZ$1.80NZ$1.63n/a3
Apr ’25NZ$1.52
NZ$1.69
+11.4%
4.5%NZ$1.80NZ$1.63n/a3
Mar ’25NZ$1.44
NZ$1.69
+17.6%
4.5%NZ$1.80NZ$1.63n/a3
Feb ’25NZ$1.46
NZ$1.74
+19.2%
10.7%NZ$2.00NZ$1.57n/a3
Jan ’25NZ$1.45
NZ$1.72
+18.9%
11.4%NZ$2.00NZ$1.57n/a3
Dec ’24NZ$1.48
NZ$1.59
+7.1%
0.9%NZ$1.60NZ$1.57n/a2
Nov ’24NZ$1.41
NZ$1.58
+11.7%
0.3%NZ$1.58NZ$1.57n/a2
Oct ’24NZ$1.54
NZ$1.67
+8.1%
1.5%NZ$1.69NZ$1.64n/a2
Sep ’24NZ$1.60
NZ$1.66
+3.4%
0.9%NZ$1.67NZ$1.64n/a2
Aug ’24NZ$1.61
NZ$1.61
-0.3%
4.0%NZ$1.67NZ$1.54n/a2
Jul ’24NZ$1.47
NZ$1.51
+2.7%
2.6%NZ$1.55NZ$1.47n/a2
Jun ’24NZ$1.47
NZ$1.47
0%
8.2%NZ$1.59NZ$1.35n/a2
May ’24NZ$1.47
NZ$1.47
0%
8.2%NZ$1.59NZ$1.35n/a2
Apr ’24NZ$1.51
NZ$1.47
-2.6%
8.2%NZ$1.59NZ$1.35NZ$1.522
Mar ’24NZ$1.48
NZ$1.45
-2.0%
6.9%NZ$1.55NZ$1.35NZ$1.442
Feb ’24NZ$1.45
NZ$1.44
-0.7%
7.6%NZ$1.55NZ$1.33NZ$1.462
Jan ’24NZ$1.43
NZ$1.44
+0.7%
7.6%NZ$1.55NZ$1.33NZ$1.452
Dec ’23NZ$1.39
NZ$1.44
+3.6%
7.6%NZ$1.55NZ$1.33NZ$1.482
Nov ’23NZ$1.47
NZ$1.46
-1.0%
5.8%NZ$1.54NZ$1.37NZ$1.412
Oct ’23NZ$1.40
NZ$1.39
-0.7%
1.4%NZ$1.41NZ$1.37NZ$1.542
Sep ’23NZ$1.34
NZ$1.39
+3.7%
1.4%NZ$1.41NZ$1.37NZ$1.602
Aug ’23NZ$1.21
NZ$1.31
+7.9%
1.9%NZ$1.33NZ$1.28NZ$1.612
Jul ’23NZ$1.16
NZ$1.17
+0.9%
4.3%NZ$1.22NZ$1.12NZ$1.472
Jun ’23NZ$1.15
NZ$1.17
+1.7%
4.3%NZ$1.22NZ$1.12NZ$1.472
May ’23NZ$1.08
NZ$1.16
+7.4%
3.4%NZ$1.20NZ$1.12NZ$1.472

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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