Smartpay Holdings Limited

NZSE:SPY Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$152.4m

Smartpay Holdings Valuation

Is SPY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPY (NZ$0.65) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NZ$0.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPY is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPY?

Key metric: As SPY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPY. This is calculated by dividing SPY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.7x
EarningsNZ$8.41m
Market CapNZ$152.42m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
MLN Marlin Global
5.4xn/aNZ$200.4m
GEN General Capital
9.3xn/aNZ$24.5m
NZX NZX
21.8x3.6%NZ$474.2m
PAY Payfare
5x-169.1%CA$98.5m
SPY Smartpay Holdings
18.7x19.9%NZ$152.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPY 18.7xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies5PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the Global Diversified Financial industry average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SPY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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