The board of NZX Limited (NZSE:NZX) has announced that it will pay a dividend of NZ$0.0365 per share on the 2nd of April. The dividend yield will be 3.7% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
See our latest analysis for NZX
NZX's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
Estimates Indicate NZX's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
NZX's Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. However, based ont he last payment, NZX was earning enough to cover the dividend pretty comfortably. The business is returning a large chunk of its cash to shareholders, which means it is not being used to grow the business.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 9.1%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 100%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
NZX Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was NZ$0.06, compared to the most recent full-year payment of NZ$0.061. Dividend payments have been growing, but very slowly over the period. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.
NZX Could Grow Its Dividend
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. It's encouraging to see that NZX has been growing its earnings per share at 7.9% a year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about NZX's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While NZX is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for NZX that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NZSE:NZX
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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