Stock Analysis

Green Cross Health (NZSE:GXH) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To NZ$0.0294

NZSE:GXH
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Green Cross Health Limited's (NZSE:GXH) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to NZ$0.0294 on the 20th of December. The dividend yield of 4.5% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

See our latest analysis for Green Cross Health

Green Cross Health Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Green Cross Health's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 2.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 410%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
NZSE:GXH Historic Dividend December 3rd 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was NZ$0.07, compared to the most recent full-year payment of NZ$0.05. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.3% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. In the last five years, Green Cross Health's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 2.1% per annum. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.

Our Thoughts On Green Cross Health's Dividend

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Green Cross Health that investors should take into consideration. Is Green Cross Health not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.