ANZ Group Holdings Limited

NZSE:ANZ Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$106.9b

ANZ Group Holdings Valuation

Is ANZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ANZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ANZ (NZ$35.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NZ$41.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ANZ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ANZ?

Key metric: As ANZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ANZ. This is calculated by dividing ANZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ANZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.7x
EarningsAU$6.54b
Market CapAU$95.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ANZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ANZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.2x
HGH Heartland Group Holdings
12.4x17.8%NZ$928.0m
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
13.4x7.3%CA$86.4b
BNP BNP Paribas
6.2x7.3%€64.2b
3328 Bank of Communications
4.7x5.7%HK$501.3b
ANZ ANZ Group Holdings
14.7x3.3%NZ$95.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ANZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ANZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Banks Industry?

18 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ANZ 14.7xIndustry Avg. 10.1xNo. of Companies164PE0612182430+
18 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ANZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the Global Banks industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ANZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ANZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ANZ's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ANZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNZ$35.10
NZ$32.62
-7.1%
9.6%NZ$37.65NZ$27.96n/a14
Nov ’25NZ$33.80
NZ$31.43
-7.0%
10.6%NZ$36.52NZ$24.20n/a14
Oct ’25NZ$33.13
NZ$30.96
-6.6%
10.2%NZ$35.44NZ$23.85n/a15
Sep ’25NZ$32.89
NZ$30.93
-6.0%
10.4%NZ$35.52NZ$23.90n/a15
Aug ’25NZ$32.50
NZ$30.98
-4.7%
9.9%NZ$35.25NZ$24.16n/a15
Jul ’25NZ$30.80
NZ$30.60
-0.7%
9.0%NZ$34.37NZ$24.01n/a15
Jun ’25NZ$30.45
NZ$30.60
+0.5%
9.0%NZ$34.37NZ$24.01n/a15
May ’25NZ$30.63
NZ$30.46
-0.5%
8.0%NZ$34.08NZ$24.18n/a14
Apr ’25NZ$31.90
NZ$29.76
-6.7%
8.6%NZ$33.29NZ$22.55n/a14
Mar ’25NZ$30.54
NZ$28.58
-6.4%
9.3%NZ$32.93NZ$22.31n/a14
Feb ’25NZ$28.82
NZ$28.09
-2.5%
8.8%NZ$33.34NZ$22.59n/a14
Jan ’25NZ$27.81
NZ$27.65
-0.6%
8.4%NZ$33.49NZ$22.69n/a14
Dec ’24NZ$26.01
NZ$27.68
+6.4%
8.4%NZ$33.57NZ$22.74n/a14
Nov ’24NZ$27.20
NZ$28.47
+4.7%
8.0%NZ$33.76NZ$23.42NZ$33.8014
Oct ’24NZ$27.80
NZ$28.10
+1.1%
7.8%NZ$33.26NZ$23.07NZ$33.1314
Sep ’24NZ$27.23
NZ$28.46
+4.5%
8.4%NZ$33.63NZ$23.32NZ$32.8915
Aug ’24NZ$27.89
NZ$27.78
-0.4%
11.3%NZ$33.81NZ$20.29NZ$32.5015
Jul ’24NZ$25.78
NZ$27.65
+7.3%
11.2%NZ$33.64NZ$20.18NZ$30.8015
Jun ’24NZ$24.70
NZ$27.41
+11.0%
10.9%NZ$33.47NZ$20.08NZ$30.4515
May ’24NZ$26.35
NZ$27.68
+5.0%
10.7%NZ$33.44NZ$20.06NZ$30.6316
Apr ’24NZ$24.63
NZ$27.76
+12.7%
11.0%NZ$33.21NZ$19.92NZ$31.9016
Mar ’24NZ$26.65
NZ$29.00
+8.8%
11.5%NZ$33.99NZ$20.39NZ$30.5416
Feb ’24NZ$27.90
NZ$28.31
+1.5%
12.1%NZ$33.59NZ$19.83NZ$28.8216
Jan ’24n/a
NZ$28.26
0%
13.6%NZ$34.18NZ$19.55NZ$27.8115
Dec ’23NZ$26.90
NZ$28.47
+5.8%
13.2%NZ$34.52NZ$19.74NZ$26.0116
Nov ’23NZ$28.40
NZ$29.13
+2.6%
13.2%NZ$35.32NZ$20.20NZ$27.2016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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