The Strong Earnings Posted By Wallenius Wilhelmsen (OB:WAWI) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
Even though Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA's (OB:WAWI) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
A Closer Look At Wallenius Wilhelmsen's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Wallenius Wilhelmsen has an accrual ratio of -0.15 for the year to June 2025. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$1.6b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$1.10b. Wallenius Wilhelmsen shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
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That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Wallenius Wilhelmsen's profit was boosted by unusual items worth US$134m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Wallenius Wilhelmsen doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Wallenius Wilhelmsen's Profit Performance
In conclusion, Wallenius Wilhelmsen's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. After taking into account all these factors, we think that Wallenius Wilhelmsen's statutory results are a decent reflection of its underlying earnings power. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Wallenius Wilhelmsen at this point in time. For example, Wallenius Wilhelmsen has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.