Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Gram Car Carriers ASA's (OB:GCC) Muted Earnings Despite A 34% Share Price Rise

OB:GCC
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Gram Car Carriers ASA (OB:GCC) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 51% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Gram Car Carriers may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x, since almost half of all companies in Norway have P/E ratios greater than 12x and even P/E's higher than 23x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Gram Car Carriers certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Gram Car Carriers

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OB:GCC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Gram Car Carriers will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Gram Car Carriers' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 289%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 21% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Gram Car Carriers is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Gram Car Carriers' P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Gram Car Carriers' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Gram Car Carriers that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Gram Car Carriers is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.