Stock Analysis

Telenor's (OB:TEL) Dividend Will Be NOK4.50

OB:TEL
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Telenor ASA's (OB:TEL) investors are due to receive a payment of NOK4.50 per share on 29th of October. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 7.8%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Telenor

Telenor Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 177% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 73%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 71.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 106%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
OB:TEL Historic Dividend June 30th 2024

Telenor Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was NOK7.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of NOK9.50. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.1% a year over that time. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.

Telenor May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Although it's important to note that Telenor's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. So the company has struggled to grow its EPS yet it's still paying out 177% of its earnings. As they say in finance, 'past performance is not indicative of future performance', but we are not confident a company with limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio will be a star dividend-payer over the next decade.

Our Thoughts On Telenor's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Telenor's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, but we still think the dividend is a bit high for comfort. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Telenor that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Telenor not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Telenor is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com