Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Crayon Group Holding ASA (OB:CRAYN) Hampers Share Price

OB:CRAYN
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Crayon Group Holding ASA's (OB:CRAYN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in Norway, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.9x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Crayon Group Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:CRAYN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 6th 2024

How Crayon Group Holding Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Crayon Group Holding as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Crayon Group Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Crayon Group Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 66% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Crayon Group Holding's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Crayon Group Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Crayon Group Holding (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Crayon Group Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.