With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 13x in Norway, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Norsk Hydro ASA's (OB:NHY) P/E ratio of 11.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times have been advantageous for Norsk Hydro as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Norsk Hydro
Is There Some Growth For Norsk Hydro?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Norsk Hydro's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 202% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 38% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why Norsk Hydro is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Norsk Hydro's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Norsk Hydro's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Norsk Hydro that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Norsk Hydro. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Norsk Hydro might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:NHY
Norsk Hydro
Engages in the power production, bauxite extraction, alumina refining, aluminium smelting, and recycling activities worldwide.
Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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