M Vest Water Valuation

Is MVW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MVW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MVW (NOK9.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK55.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MVW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MVW?

Key metric: As MVW is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MVW. This is calculated by dividing MVW's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MVW's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio15.8x
SalesNOK 19.14m
Market CapNOK 302.64m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MVW's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MVW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.6x
TEKNA Tekna Holding
1.5xn/aNOK 457.6m
ABTEC Aqua Bio Technology
14.7xn/aNOK 203.5m
CIRCA Circa Group
5.7xn/aNOK 77.7m
ELK Elkem
0.4x10.8%NOK 11.6b
MVW M Vest Water
15.8x36.4%NOK 302.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MVW is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (5.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MVW's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MVW 15.8xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies29PS01.22.43.64.86+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MVW is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.8x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MVW's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MVW PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio15.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MVW is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MVW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 9.25
NOK 12.20
+31.9%
6.6%NOK 13.00NOK 11.40n/a2
Nov ’25NOK 10.60
NOK 12.20
+15.1%
6.6%NOK 13.00NOK 11.40n/a2
Oct ’25NOK 10.20
NOK 12.20
+19.6%
6.6%NOK 13.00NOK 11.40n/a2
Apr ’25NOK 9.06
NOK 12.20
+34.7%
6.6%NOK 13.00NOK 11.40n/a2
Mar ’25NOK 10.25
NOK 11.20
+9.3%
1.8%NOK 11.40NOK 11.00n/a2
Feb ’25NOK 8.40
NOK 9.45
+12.5%
20.6%NOK 11.40NOK 7.50n/a2
Jan ’25NOK 6.96
NOK 9.75
+40.1%
23.1%NOK 12.00NOK 7.50n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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