Since SalMar ASA (OB:SALM) released its earnings in December 2018, analyst consensus outlook appear cautiously subdued, as a -12% rise in profits is expected in the upcoming year, against the higher past 5-year average growth rate of 19%. Currently with trailing-twelve-month earnings of øre3.6b, we can expect this to reach øre3.1b by 2020. In this article, I’ve outline a few earnings growth rates to give you a sense of the market sentiment for SalMar in the longer term. For those keen to understand more about other aspects of the company, you can research its fundamentals here.
How is SalMar going to perform in the near future?
Over the next three years, it seems the consensus view of the 7 analysts covering SALM is skewed towards the positive sentiment. Broker analysts tend to forecast up to three years ahead due to a lack of clarity around the business trajectory beyond this. I’ve plotted out each year’s earnings expectations and inserted a line of best fit to calculate an annual growth rate from the slope in order to understand the overall trajectory of SALM’s earnings growth over these next few years.
By 2022, SALM’s earnings should reach øre3.7b, from current levels of øre3.6b, resulting in an annual growth rate of 3.3%. This leads to an EPS of NOK32.8 in the final year of projections relative to the current EPS of NOK31.7. As revenues is expected to outpace earnings, analysts expect margins to contract from the current 31% to 28% by the end of 2022.
Future outlook is only one aspect when you’re building an investment case for a stock. For SalMar, I’ve compiled three fundamental factors you should further research:
- Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
- Valuation: What is SalMar worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SalMar is currently mispriced by the market.
- Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of SalMar? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.