Stock Analysis

Kaldvik AS (OB:KLDVK) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be

OB:KLDVK
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Kaldvik AS (OB:KLDVK), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

After this downgrade, Kaldvik's dual analysts are now forecasting revenues of kr1.5b in 2024. This would be a huge 93% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to drop 13% to kr0.28 in the same period. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr1.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr0.83 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

Check out our latest analysis for Kaldvik

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OB:KLDVK Earnings and Revenue Growth September 1st 2024

The consensus price target fell 5.8% to kr32.50, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Kaldvik's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 140% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 20% per annum over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 8.2% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Kaldvik to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Kaldvik.

That said, the analysts might have good reason to be negative on Kaldvik, given its declining profit margins. Learn more, and discover the 2 other warning signs we've identified, for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kaldvik might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.