David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that P/F Bakkafrost (OB:BAKKA) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for P/F Bakkafrost
What Is P/F Bakkafrost's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 P/F Bakkafrost had kr.2.64b of debt, an increase on kr.2.31b, over one year. However, it also had kr.445.1m in cash, and so its net debt is kr.2.19b.
How Strong Is P/F Bakkafrost's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that P/F Bakkafrost had liabilities of kr.918.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr.4.47b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr.445.1m and kr.944.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr.4.00b.
Of course, P/F Bakkafrost has a market capitalization of kr.25.5b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
P/F Bakkafrost's net debt is only 1.4 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 33.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that P/F Bakkafrost has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if P/F Bakkafrost can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, P/F Bakkafrost actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
P/F Bakkafrost's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think P/F Bakkafrost's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of P/F Bakkafrost's earnings per share history for free.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:BAKKA
P/F Bakkafrost
Produces and sells salmon products in North America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Solid track record with reasonable growth potential.