Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Austevoll Seafood ASA (OB:AUSS) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Austevoll Seafood
How Much Debt Does Austevoll Seafood Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Austevoll Seafood had kr11.1b of debt, up from kr9.08b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has kr5.35b in cash leading to net debt of about kr5.76b.
How Strong Is Austevoll Seafood's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Austevoll Seafood had liabilities of kr7.56b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr17.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr5.35b as well as receivables valued at kr4.35b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr15.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of kr15.1b, we think shareholders really should watch Austevoll Seafood's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Austevoll Seafood's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 6.1 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. It is just as well that Austevoll Seafood's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 48% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Austevoll Seafood can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Austevoll Seafood produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say Austevoll Seafood's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Austevoll Seafood has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Austevoll Seafood is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:AUSS
Austevoll Seafood
A seafood company, engages in the production of salmon and trout, white fish, and pelagic in Norway, the European Union, the United Kingdom, Eastern Europe, Africa, North America, Asia, and South America.
Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.