The most recent earnings report from PetroNor E&P ASA (OB:PNOR) was disappointing for shareholders. Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.
A Closer Look At PetroNor E&P's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to March 2025, PetroNor E&P recorded an accrual ratio of -0.22. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$47m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$24.9m. PetroNor E&P's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of PetroNor E&P.
Our Take On PetroNor E&P's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, PetroNor E&P's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that PetroNor E&P's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - PetroNor E&P has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of PetroNor E&P's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:PNOR
PetroNor E&P
Operates as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company in in the Republic of the Congo, the Gambia, and Nigeria.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.
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