Stock Analysis

Is Havila Shipping (OB:HAVI) Using Too Much Debt?

OB:HAVI
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Havila Shipping ASA (OB:HAVI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Havila Shipping

What Is Havila Shipping's Debt?

As you can see below, Havila Shipping had kr1.90b of debt at June 2021, down from kr2.22b a year prior. However, it does have kr82.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr1.82b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:HAVI Debt to Equity History August 31st 2021

How Healthy Is Havila Shipping's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Havila Shipping had liabilities of kr161.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr1.96b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr82.8m in cash and kr142.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr1.90b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr66.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Havila Shipping would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Havila Shipping will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Havila Shipping made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to kr542m, which is a fall of 32%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Havila Shipping's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping kr156m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost kr113m in the last year. So we're not very excited about owning this stock. Its too risky for us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Havila Shipping .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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