Stock Analysis

Is Havila Shipping (OB:HAVI) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

OB:HAVI
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Havila Shipping ASA (OB:HAVI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Havila Shipping

What Is Havila Shipping's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Havila Shipping had kr1.72b of debt at December 2021, down from kr1.92b a year prior. However, it does have kr95.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr1.62b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:HAVI Debt to Equity History April 5th 2022

How Strong Is Havila Shipping's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Havila Shipping had liabilities of kr158.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr1.78b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr95.5m in cash and kr121.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr1.72b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr117.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Havila Shipping would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Havila Shipping's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Havila Shipping made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to kr547m, which is a fall of 22%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Havila Shipping's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable kr42m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But on the bright side the company actually produced a statutory profit of kr66m and free cash flow of kr56m. So its situation may not be as precarious as the EBIT would imply. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Havila Shipping is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.