Frontline plc

OB:FRO Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 47.5b

Frontline Valuation

Is FRO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FRO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FRO (NOK219.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK451.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FRO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FRO?

Key metric: As FRO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FRO. This is calculated by dividing FRO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FRO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.6x
EarningsUS$594.51m
Market CapUS$4.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FRO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FRO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
HAFNI Hafnia
3.4x-20.2%NOK 30.5b
BWLPG BWG
4.4x-26.6%NOK 23.1b
OET Okeanis Eco Tankers
6.6x10.3%NOK 8.6b
AGAS Avance Gas Holding
2.5x-81.6%NOK 8.2b
FRO Frontline
7.6x5.9%NOK 4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FRO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FRO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRO 7.6xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FRO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FRO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FRO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 219.10
NOK 333.05
+52.0%
12.5%NOK 412.89NOK 290.14n/a6
Nov ’25NOK 213.60
NOK 335.46
+57.0%
10.9%NOK 406.79NOK 291.35n/a6
Oct ’25NOK 243.70
NOK 340.52
+39.7%
8.0%NOK 392.33NOK 318.11n/a5
Sep ’25NOK 259.10
NOK 342.86
+32.3%
7.5%NOK 392.44NOK 318.20n/a5
Aug ’25NOK 267.00
NOK 358.10
+34.1%
7.3%NOK 407.77NOK 330.63n/a5
Jul ’25NOK 262.50
NOK 334.71
+27.5%
3.5%NOK 346.32NOK 314.84n/a5
Jun ’25NOK 300.80
NOK 334.71
+11.3%
3.5%NOK 346.32NOK 314.84n/a5
May ’25NOK 264.90
NOK 327.67
+23.7%
8.4%NOK 366.56NOK 288.81n/a7
Apr ’25NOK 246.40
NOK 298.36
+21.1%
10.6%NOK 341.36NOK 237.88n/a7
Mar ’25NOK 241.50
NOK 283.34
+17.3%
12.3%NOK 336.65NOK 234.61n/a7
Feb ’25NOK 242.10
NOK 280.41
+15.8%
11.9%NOK 336.52NOK 231.36n/a7
Jan ’25NOK 202.90
NOK 256.13
+26.2%
18.6%NOK 341.40NOK 181.37n/a7
Dec ’24NOK 218.80
NOK 251.11
+14.8%
19.4%NOK 341.40NOK 181.37n/a7
Nov ’24NOK 253.85
NOK 238.09
-6.2%
9.9%NOK 268.08NOK 189.89NOK 213.607
Oct ’24NOK 197.00
NOK 217.19
+10.3%
12.0%NOK 250.88NOK 182.26NOK 243.707
Sep ’24NOK 186.00
NOK 217.70
+17.0%
11.8%NOK 250.05NOK 181.66NOK 259.107
Aug ’24NOK 171.50
NOK 209.24
+22.0%
12.3%NOK 237.59NOK 183.59NOK 267.004
Jul ’24NOK 154.48
NOK 209.24
+35.4%
12.3%NOK 237.59NOK 183.59NOK 262.504
Jun ’24NOK 170.60
NOK 195.70
+14.7%
19.6%NOK 244.28NOK 138.80NOK 300.804
May ’24NOK 165.44
NOK 199.43
+20.5%
21.4%NOK 239.84NOK 130.35NOK 264.904
Apr ’24NOK 171.22
NOK 199.43
+16.5%
21.4%NOK 239.84NOK 130.35NOK 246.404
Mar ’24NOK 197.84
NOK 192.10
-2.9%
23.0%NOK 238.82NOK 129.80NOK 241.504
Feb ’24NOK 144.44
NOK 168.05
+16.3%
19.8%NOK 217.48NOK 123.57NOK 242.104
Jan ’24NOK 117.60
NOK 155.26
+32.0%
15.2%NOK 185.82NOK 122.25NOK 202.904
Dec ’23NOK 132.50
NOK 153.99
+16.2%
12.0%NOK 170.26NOK 125.19NOK 218.804
Nov ’23NOK 137.90
NOK 155.05
+12.4%
11.1%NOK 174.28NOK 128.14NOK 253.854

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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