When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Norway have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, DNO ASA (OB:DNO) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for DNO
How DNO Has Been Performing
DNO has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the industry. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on DNO will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as DNO's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 34% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 4.5% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth will be highly resilient over the next three years growing by 6.2% per annum. With the rest of the industry predicted to shrink by 5.0% per year, that would be a fantastic result.
In light of this, it's understandable that DNO's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Right now, investors are willing to pay more for a stock that is shaping up to buck the trend of the broader industry going backwards.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of DNO's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook against a shaky industry is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Our only concern is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. Although, if the company's prospects don't change they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with DNO (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:DNO
DNO
Engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas assets in the Middle East, the North Sea, and West Africa.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.