Stock Analysis

Akastor ASA's (OB:AKAST) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

OB:AKAST
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Akastor ASA (OB:AKAST) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Akastor is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.4x, considering almost half the companies in Norway's Energy Services industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Akastor

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:AKAST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 1st 2024

What Does Akastor's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Akastor certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Akastor.

How Is Akastor's Revenue Growth Trending?

Akastor's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 206% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 81% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 35% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 19%.

In light of this, it's alarming that Akastor's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Akastor's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Akastor's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Akastor currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. In cases like this where we see revenue decline on the horizon, we suspect the share price is at risk of following suit, bringing back the high P/S into the realms of suitability. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Akastor that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Akastor's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.