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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Zalaris ASA (OB:ZAL) Even After 28% Share Price Boost
Zalaris ASA (OB:ZAL) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 79%.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Zalaris' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Professional Services industry in Norway, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Zalaris
How Has Zalaris Performed Recently?
Zalaris has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zalaris will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zalaris?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zalaris' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 27% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 35% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 4.3% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Zalaris' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Zalaris' P/S?
Zalaris appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
To our surprise, Zalaris revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zalaris that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zalaris might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:ZAL
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.