Stock Analysis

Is HAV Group (OB:HAV) Using Too Much Debt?

OB:HAV
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that HAV Group ASA (OB:HAV) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for HAV Group

What Is HAV Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that HAV Group had debt of kr31.8m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from kr46.2m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds kr232.7m in cash, so it actually has kr201.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:HAV Debt to Equity History March 17th 2024

A Look At HAV Group's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that HAV Group had liabilities of kr327.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr46.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr232.7m and kr124.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling kr16.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded HAV Group shares are worth a total of kr304.3m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, HAV Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that HAV Group's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 96% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HAV Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While HAV Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, HAV Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about HAV Group's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of kr201.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of kr17m, being 187% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with HAV Group's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for HAV Group that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HAV Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.