Stock Analysis

Here's Why Aker (OB:AKER) Can Afford Some Debt

OB:AKER
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Aker ASA (OB:AKER) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Aker

How Much Debt Does Aker Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Aker had debt of kr28.9b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from kr33.7b over a year. However, it does have kr8.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr20.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:AKER Debt to Equity History March 24th 2024

How Strong Is Aker's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Aker had liabilities of kr10.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr27.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr8.42b as well as receivables valued at kr5.06b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr24.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Aker has a market capitalization of kr45.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aker will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Aker made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to kr14b, which is a fall of 45%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Aker's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable kr4.5b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled kr1.6b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Aker has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.