SpareBank 1 Østlandet Valuation

Is SPOL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPOL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPOL (NOK153.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK295.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPOL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPOL?

Key metric: As SPOL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPOL. This is calculated by dividing SPOL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPOL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.1x
EarningsNOK 2.51b
Market CapNOK 17.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPOL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPOL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.6x
SVEG Sparebanken Vest
8.4x22.4%NOK 15.1b
SOR Sparebanken Sør
10.5x17.1%NOK 8.0b
PARB Pareto Bank
7.3x0.9%NOK 5.1b
RING SpareBank 1 Ringerike Hadeland
8.2x-4.3%NOK 5.1b
SPOL SpareBank 1 Østlandet
7.1x1.9%NOK 17.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (8.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPOL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the NO Banks Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFSB Flekkefjord Sparebank
1.4x3.9%US$14.56m
No more companies available in this PE range
SPOL 7.1xIndustry Avg. 9.3xNo. of Companies13PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the Norwegian Banks industry average (9.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPOL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPOL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SPOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPOL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 153.88
NOK 156.50
+1.7%
4.0%NOK 165.00NOK 150.00n/a4
Dec ’25NOK 150.74
NOK 155.25
+3.0%
3.1%NOK 160.00NOK 150.00n/a4
Nov ’25NOK 150.22
NOK 155.25
+3.3%
3.1%NOK 160.00NOK 150.00n/a4
Oct ’25NOK 142.26
NOK 154.75
+8.8%
3.5%NOK 160.00NOK 148.00n/a4
Sep ’25NOK 144.64
NOK 154.75
+7.0%
3.5%NOK 160.00NOK 148.00n/a4
Aug ’25NOK 147.58
NOK 144.75
-1.9%
3.6%NOK 150.00NOK 137.00n/a4
Jul ’25NOK 138.82
NOK 142.00
+2.3%
3.6%NOK 150.00NOK 137.00n/a4
Jun ’25NOK 136.50
NOK 141.25
+3.5%
3.7%NOK 150.00NOK 137.00n/a4
May ’25NOK 134.00
NOK 138.75
+3.5%
3.2%NOK 145.00NOK 133.00n/a4
Apr ’25NOK 124.40
NOK 141.25
+13.5%
2.9%NOK 145.00NOK 135.00n/a4
Mar ’25NOK 123.20
NOK 141.25
+14.7%
2.9%NOK 145.00NOK 135.00n/a4
Feb ’25NOK 121.40
NOK 140.00
+15.3%
2.5%NOK 145.00NOK 135.00n/a4
Jan ’25NOK 132.60
NOK 141.25
+6.5%
1.5%NOK 145.00NOK 140.00n/a4
Dec ’24NOK 125.00
NOK 141.25
+13.0%
1.5%NOK 145.00NOK 140.00NOK 150.744
Nov ’24NOK 123.80
NOK 142.50
+15.1%
1.8%NOK 145.00NOK 140.00NOK 150.224
Oct ’24NOK 133.40
NOK 146.25
+9.6%
3.7%NOK 155.00NOK 140.00NOK 142.264
Sep ’24NOK 132.20
NOK 146.25
+10.6%
3.7%NOK 155.00NOK 140.00NOK 144.644
Aug ’24NOK 126.40
NOK 145.75
+15.3%
5.6%NOK 158.00NOK 135.00NOK 147.584
Jul ’24NOK 130.00
NOK 145.75
+12.1%
5.6%NOK 158.00NOK 135.00NOK 138.824
Jun ’24NOK 123.20
NOK 145.00
+17.7%
5.7%NOK 158.00NOK 135.00NOK 136.504
May ’24NOK 125.40
NOK 143.50
+14.4%
4.9%NOK 154.00NOK 135.00NOK 134.004
Apr ’24NOK 113.80
NOK 142.00
+24.8%
3.5%NOK 148.00NOK 135.00NOK 124.404
Mar ’24NOK 129.00
NOK 140.75
+9.1%
4.2%NOK 148.00NOK 135.00NOK 123.204
Feb ’24NOK 115.40
NOK 142.75
+23.7%
6.8%NOK 155.00NOK 128.00NOK 121.404
Jan ’24NOK 121.20
NOK 142.75
+17.8%
6.8%NOK 155.00NOK 128.00NOK 132.604
Dec ’23NOK 115.40
NOK 143.25
+24.1%
6.2%NOK 155.00NOK 130.00NOK 125.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:26
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SpareBank 1 Østlandet is covered by 5 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Håkon AstrupDNB Markets
Žilvinas JusaitisNorne Securities AS
Vegard ToverudPareto Securities