TomTom Valuation

Is TOM2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOM2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOM2 (€5.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOM2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOM2?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TOM2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA59x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TOM2's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TOM2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
CMCOM CM.com
0.7x8.6%€191.4m
MTRK MotorK
4.7x24.7%€201.6m
ORDI Ordina
1.2x7.0%€513.1m
GOJXN GeoJunxion
4.4xn/a€4.7m
TOM2 TomTom
1.2x5.2%€711.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TOM2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the European Software industry average (2.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOM2's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOM2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio3.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOM2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.78
€9.13
+58.0%
24.4%€11.00€6.00n/a3
Apr ’25€7.41
€9.63
+30.0%
15.9%€11.00€7.50n/a3
Mar ’25€7.42
€9.47
+27.6%
18.6%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Feb ’25€6.30
€9.50
+50.9%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Jan ’25€6.39
€9.50
+48.8%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Dec ’24€6.16
€9.50
+54.2%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Nov ’24€5.60
€9.50
+69.8%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Oct ’24€6.76
€10.00
+47.9%
10.8%€11.00€8.50n/a3
Sep ’24€7.20
€10.00
+38.9%
10.8%€11.00€8.50n/a3
Aug ’24€7.93
€10.00
+26.2%
10.8%€11.00€8.50n/a3
Jul ’24€7.12
€10.00
+40.4%
10.8%€11.00€8.50n/a3
Jun ’24€7.09
€10.00
+41.0%
10.8%€11.00€8.50n/a3
May ’24€7.76
€10.00
+28.9%
10.8%€11.00€8.50n/a3
Apr ’24€7.55
€9.67
+28.1%
16.0%€11.00€7.50€7.413
Mar ’24€7.34
€9.33
+27.2%
14.1%€10.50€7.50€7.423
Feb ’24€6.68
€9.33
+39.8%
14.1%€10.50€7.50€6.303
Jan ’24€6.49
€9.50
+46.5%
11.4%€10.50€8.00€6.393
Dec ’23€8.03
€10.17
+26.7%
16.2%€12.00€8.00€6.163
Nov ’23€7.87
€10.17
+29.2%
16.2%€12.00€8.00€5.603
Oct ’23€7.37
€9.63
+30.7%
17.8%€12.00€8.00€6.764
Sep ’23€8.20
€9.63
+17.4%
17.8%€12.00€8.00€7.204
Aug ’23€8.73
€9.63
+10.3%
17.8%€12.00€8.00€7.934
Jul ’23€7.06
€9.50
+34.6%
19.3%€12.00€7.50€7.124
Jun ’23€7.80
€9.10
+16.7%
20.1%€12.00€7.50€7.095
May ’23€8.30
€9.10
+9.6%
20.1%€12.00€7.50€7.765
Apr ’23€8.36
€9.10
+8.9%
20.1%€12.00€7.50€7.555

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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