TomTom Valuation

Is TOM2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOM2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOM2 (€5.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOM2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOM2?

Key metric: As TOM2 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TOM2. This is calculated by dividing TOM2's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TOM2's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
Sales€575.52m
Market Cap€637.12m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TOM2's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TOM2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
MTRK MotorK
6.1x22.1%€257.6m
CMCOM CM.com
0.7x11.4%€179.4m
ORDI Ordina
1.2x7.0%€513.1m
GOJXN GeoJunxion
4.4xn/a€4.7m
TOM2 TomTom
1.1x5.1%€637.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TOM2's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

44 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOM2 1.1xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies47PS0246810+
44 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the European Software industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOM2's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOM2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio2.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOM2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.19
€8.53
+64.6%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Nov ’25€5.12
€8.53
+66.8%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Oct ’25€4.97
€8.53
+71.8%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Sep ’25€5.22
€8.53
+63.6%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Aug ’25€4.91
€8.53
+73.7%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Jul ’25€5.34
€9.13
+71.2%
24.4%€11.00€6.00n/a3
Jun ’25€5.70
€9.13
+60.4%
24.4%€11.00€6.00n/a3
May ’25€5.62
€9.13
+62.5%
24.4%€11.00€6.00n/a3
Apr ’25€7.41
€9.63
+30.0%
15.9%€11.00€7.50n/a3
Mar ’25€7.42
€9.47
+27.6%
18.6%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Feb ’25€6.30
€9.50
+50.9%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Jan ’25€6.39
€9.50
+48.8%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Dec ’24€6.16
€9.50
+54.2%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Nov ’24€5.60
€9.50
+69.8%
18.7%€11.00€7.00€5.123
Oct ’24€6.76
€10.00
+47.9%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€4.973
Sep ’24€7.20
€10.00
+38.9%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.223
Aug ’24€7.93
€10.00
+26.2%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€4.913
Jul ’24€7.12
€10.00
+40.4%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.343
Jun ’24€7.09
€10.00
+41.0%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.703
May ’24€7.76
€10.00
+28.9%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.623
Apr ’24€7.55
€9.67
+28.1%
16.0%€11.00€7.50€7.413
Mar ’24€7.34
€9.33
+27.2%
14.1%€10.50€7.50€7.423
Feb ’24€6.68
€9.33
+39.8%
14.1%€10.50€7.50€6.303
Jan ’24€6.49
€9.50
+46.5%
11.4%€10.50€8.00€6.393
Dec ’23€8.03
€10.17
+26.7%
16.2%€12.00€8.00€6.163
Nov ’23€7.87
€10.17
+29.2%
16.2%€12.00€8.00€5.603

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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