Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying ASML Holding N.V. (AMS:ASML) Now?

ENXTAM:ASML
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established ASML Holding N.V. (AMS:ASML). The company's stock saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ENXTAM, rising to highs of €1,002 and falling to the lows of €800. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ASML Holding's current trading price of €821 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ASML Holding’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for ASML Holding

Is ASML Holding Still Cheap?

According to our valuation model, ASML Holding seems to be fairly priced at around 4.63% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy ASML Holding today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €784.21, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since ASML Holding’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of ASML Holding look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTAM:ASML Earnings and Revenue Growth July 27th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for ASML Holding. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? ASML’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ASML, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that ASML Holding has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.