ArcelorMittal Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
ArcelorMittal is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.4% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.3% in 3 years.
Key information
16.4%
Earnings growth rate
17.37%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 19.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.0% |
| Future return on equity | 8.26% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • May 04
Results: ArcelorMittal S.A. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that ArcelorMittal S.A. ( AMS:MT ) released its quarterly result to the market. The...Analysis Article • Nov 11
ArcelorMittal S.A. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Investors in ArcelorMittal S.A. ( AMS:MT ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.9% to close at €33.97 following the...Recent updates
Analysis Article • May 04
Results: ArcelorMittal S.A. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that ArcelorMittal S.A. ( AMS:MT ) released its quarterly result to the market. The...
Narrative Update • Apr 22
MT: Low Carbon Furnace And Higher Dividend Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook
ArcelorMittal's analyst price target has shifted from €54.13 to €55.03. Analysts cite revised fair value assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as the key drivers behind this adjustment.Narrative Update • Apr 08
MT: Low Carbon Furnace Build And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Upside
Analysts now estimate a slightly higher fair value for ArcelorMittal, with the updated price target moving to about €54.13 from roughly €54.11. This reflects revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E.Narrative Update • Mar 23
MT: Low Carbon Furnace Investment And Rising Dividend Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their ArcelorMittal price target slightly lower from €54.63 to €54.11, reflecting modest changes to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Confirmed construction of a 2 million tonne electric arc furnace at Dunkirk, a €1.3b project supported 50% by Energy Efficiency Certificates and scheduled to start up in 2029.Narrative Update • Mar 07
MT: Low Carbon Projects And Dividend Commitment Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have revised their price target for ArcelorMittal from €51.04 to €54.63, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Plans have been confirmed to build a 2 million tonne electric arc furnace at the Dunkirk site in France.Narrative Update • Feb 21
MT: Steel Cycle Resilience And Capital Returns Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their ArcelorMittal price target from about €47.02 to roughly €51.04, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that collectively support a higher assessed value. What's in the News ArcelorMittal plans to build a 2 million tonne electric arc furnace at its Dunkirk site in France.Analysis Article • Feb 12
Further Upside For ArcelorMittal S.A. (AMS:MT) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 34% Bounce
Despite an already strong run, ArcelorMittal S.A. ( AMS:MT ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the...Narrative Update • Feb 06
MT: Steel Cycle Resilience And Asset Moves Will Support Balanced Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for ArcelorMittal to approximately €47 from about €43, citing updated assumptions that include an improved profit margin outlook and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. These changes are partially offset by more cautious revenue growth expectations and a modestly higher discount rate.Narrative Update • Jan 23
MT: Renewables Expansion And Asset Sales Will Support Balanced Returns Going Forward
Analysts have lifted their price target on ArcelorMittal to €43.34 from €39.20, citing updated assumptions around slightly lower discount rates, firmer revenue growth, improved profit margins and a marginally adjusted future P/E multiple. What's in the News ArcelorMittal plans three new renewable energy projects in India with a combined 1GW of solar and wind capacity.Narrative Update • Jan 08
MT: Renewable Projects And Buybacks Will Support Balanced Returns Going Forward
Narrative Update: ArcelorMittal Analyst Price Target Analysts now see slightly higher long term value for ArcelorMittal, lifting their fair value estimate from €37.47 to €39.20 as they adjust assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. What's in the News ArcelorMittal plans three new renewable energy projects in India with 1 GW of combined solar and wind capacity, taking its total renewable capacity in the country to 2 GW and global capacity to 3.3 GW.Analysis Article • Dec 19
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of ArcelorMittal S.A. (AMS:MT)
Key Insights The projected fair value for ArcelorMittal is €35.65 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Narrative Update • Dec 16
MT: Share Buybacks And Iron Ore Output Will Support Balanced Returns Ahead
Narrative Update on ArcelorMittal Analysts have modestly raised their price target on ArcelorMittal by about 1 percent to approximately $37.47. This reflects slightly higher expected profit margins and a marginally richer future earnings multiple, while growth assumptions remain largely unchanged.Narrative Update • Dec 02
MT: Share Buybacks And Iron Ore Output Will Support Measured Returns Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for ArcelorMittal by approximately $0.69 per share to $37.48, citing marginal improvements in the company's projected fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin estimates. What's in the News ArcelorMittal completed the repurchase of 2,000,000 shares, totaling €59.55 million, as part of the buyback program announced in April 2025.Narrative Update • Nov 18
MT: Steady Iron Ore Production And Buybacks Will Drive Measured Financial Progress
Analysts have raised their price target for ArcelorMittal from $34.44 to $36.80, citing modest improvements in profit margin projections and updated valuation assumptions. What's in the News ArcelorMittal completed a share buyback of 2,000,000 shares for €59.55 million, representing 0.26% of shares under the program announced in April 2025 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Nov 14
Concerns Surrounding ArcelorMittal's (AMS:MT) Performance
The market for ArcelorMittal S.A.'s ( AMS:MT ) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week...Analysis Article • Nov 11
ArcelorMittal S.A. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Investors in ArcelorMittal S.A. ( AMS:MT ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.9% to close at €33.97 following the...Narrative Update • Nov 01
MT: Incremental Margin Improvement And Project Delays Will Shape Medium-Term Market Expectations
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for ArcelorMittal from $33.68 to $34.44. They cite incremental improvements in profit margin and future valuation metrics as key drivers for the update.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Europe Reforms And Green Steel Investments Will Open Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for ArcelorMittal from $31.59 to $33.68, citing a slight improvement in profit margin forecasts and updated valuation assumptions. What's in the News ArcelorMittal announced it will step back from the proposed joint venture with SigmaRoc for developing net-zero CO2 lime kilns in Dunkirk, citing concerns about project execution and permit delays (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Oct 04
Europe Reforms And Green Steel Investments Will Open Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for ArcelorMittal from $30.71 to $31.59, citing moderate improvements in expected revenue growth, which offset a slight dip in profit margin forecasts. What's in the News ArcelorMittal has stepped back from its joint venture with SigmaRoc for developing net-zero CO2 lime kilns in Dunkirk, due to concerns over permitting delays.Analysis Article • Aug 26
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of ArcelorMittal S.A. (AMS:MT)
Key Insights The projected fair value for ArcelorMittal is €32.47 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Analysis Article • Jul 25
Getting In Cheap On ArcelorMittal S.A. (AMS:MT) Might Be Difficult
When close to half the companies in the Netherlands have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may...Analysis Article • Jun 13
These 4 Measures Indicate That ArcelorMittal (AMS:MT) Is Using Debt Extensively
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • May 23
An Intrinsic Calculation For ArcelorMittal S.A. (AMS:MT) Suggests It's 48% Undervalued
Key Insights ArcelorMittal's estimated fair value is €50.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity ArcelorMittal is...
New Narrative • Apr 24
Brazil, Mexico And India Projects Will Secure Sustainable Steel Leadership
Completion of strategic projects and acquisitions is expected to enhance revenue, earnings, and cash flow through increased EBITDA and structural earnings.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 70,810 | 5,054 | 3,210 | 7,694 | 14 |
| 12/31/2027 | 69,696 | 4,942 | 2,939 | 7,574 | 16 |
| 12/31/2026 | 66,644 | 3,504 | 1,496 | 5,479 | 16 |
| 3/31/2026 | 62,011 | 2,922 | 512 | 5,153 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 61,352 | 3,152 | 471 | 4,808 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 61,095 | 2,585 | 58 | 4,281 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 60,634 | 2,495 | 904 | 4,941 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 60,957 | 1,206 | 462 | 4,598 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 62,441 | 1,339 | 447 | 4,852 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 62,279 | -1,237 | 990 | 5,712 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 63,699 | -595 | 746 | 5,582 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 66,056 | 761 | 1,685 | 6,596 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 68,275 | 919 | 3,032 | 7,645 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 70,614 | 4,146 | 3,288 | 7,951 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 72,973 | 4,210 | 4,369 | 8,651 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 76,509 | 6,273 | 5,241 | 9,118 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 79,844 | 9,302 | 6,735 | 10,203 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 83,759 | 13,086 | 7,610 | 10,723 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 85,013 | 16,714 | 8,180 | 11,184 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 82,214 | 16,796 | 8,024 | 10,942 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 76,571 | 14,956 | 6,897 | 9,905 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 69,949 | 12,118 | 4,636 | 7,167 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 62,986 | 7,236 | 4,119 | 6,495 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 54,619 | 2,672 | 2,277 | 4,485 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 53,270 | -733 | 1,643 | 4,082 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 54,600 | -3,822 | 3,012 | 5,598 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 57,968 | -4,100 | 1,149 | 4,156 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 66,271 | -3,988 | 2,165 | 5,640 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 70,615 | -2,454 | N/A | 6,017 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 73,428 | 621 | N/A | 5,255 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 75,316 | 2,059 | N/A | 5,561 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 76,035 | 4,371 | N/A | 5,007 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 76,033 | 5,149 | N/A | 4,196 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 75,416 | 4,995 | N/A | 4,911 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 74,533 | 5,301 | N/A | 5,040 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 71,779 | 4,758 | N/A | 5,022 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 68,679 | 4,568 | N/A | 4,563 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 65,095 | 3,932 | N/A | 3,331 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 61,979 | 3,407 | N/A | 3,444 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 59,478 | 3,197 | N/A | 3,099 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 56,791 | 1,779 | N/A | 2,708 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 56,646 | -5,310 | N/A | 2,629 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 57,712 | -6,701 | N/A | 2,226 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 59,859 | -7,634 | N/A | 2,376 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 63,578 | -7,946 | N/A | 2,151 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 68,320 | -2,229 | N/A | 2,869 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 72,798 | -1,496 | N/A | 2,897 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MT's forecast earnings growth (16.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).
Earnings vs Market: MT's earnings (16.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Dutch market (13.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: MT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: MT's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Dutch market (9.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MT's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: MT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.3%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 01:43 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
ArcelorMittal S.A. is covered by 44 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Óscar Rodriguez Rouco | Banco de Sabadell. S.A. |
| Robert Jackson | Banco Santander |
| Vincent Lepine | Barclays |