David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Koninklijke DSM N.V. (AMS:DSM) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Koninklijke DSM
What Is Koninklijke DSM's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Koninklijke DSM had €3.37b of debt, up from €2.42b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had €914.0m in cash, and so its net debt is €2.46b.
How Strong Is Koninklijke DSM's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Koninklijke DSM had liabilities of €2.26b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €4.61b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €914.0m as well as receivables valued at €1.48b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €4.48b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Koninklijke DSM has a titanic market capitalization of €26.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Koninklijke DSM's net debt of 2.0 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 9.2 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. The bad news is that Koninklijke DSM saw its EBIT decline by 17% over the last year. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Koninklijke DSM can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Koninklijke DSM generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 86% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Koninklijke DSM was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. To be specific, it seems about as good at (not) growing its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Koninklijke DSM is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Koninklijke DSM that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About ENXTAM:DSM
DSM-Firmenich
Provides solutions for nutrition, health, and beauty businesses in the Switzerland, Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East and Africa, North America, Latin America, China, and rest of Asia.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.