DSM-Firmenich Valuation

Is DSFIR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DSFIR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DSFIR (€102.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€114.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DSFIR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DSFIR?

Key metric: As DSFIR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DSFIR. This is calculated by dividing DSFIR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DSFIR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.2x
Sales€12.46b
Market Cap€27.18b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DSFIR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DSFIR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
AKZA Akzo Nobel
0.9x3.0%€9.6b
CRBN Corbion
0.9x-0.2%€1.3b
MT ArcelorMittal
0.3x1.9%€18.9b
NSIS B Novonesis
8x1.6%DKK 181.2b
DSFIR DSM-Firmenich
2.2x4.3%€27.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DSFIR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DSFIR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DSFIR 2.2xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies29PS01.22.43.64.86+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DSFIR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DSFIR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DSFIR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DSFIR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DSFIR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€102.45
€128.82
+25.7%
11.0%€146.00€78.00n/a21
Nov ’25€108.55
€129.91
+19.7%
11.6%€158.00€78.00n/a21
Oct ’25€122.00
€127.46
+4.5%
12.1%€158.00€78.00n/a22
Sep ’25€123.00
€126.78
+3.1%
12.0%€158.00€78.00n/a22
Aug ’25€117.95
€124.96
+5.9%
12.0%€158.00€78.00n/a22
Jul ’25€105.75
€122.92
+16.2%
12.7%€158.00€75.00n/a22
Jun ’25€105.65
€121.87
+15.4%
12.7%€158.00€75.00n/a22
May ’25€105.70
€119.49
+13.0%
13.3%€158.00€75.00n/a22
Apr ’25€105.40
€118.08
+12.0%
14.7%€158.00€70.00n/a22
Mar ’25€100.08
€118.26
+18.2%
15.0%€158.00€70.00n/a22
Feb ’25€97.36
€111.55
+14.6%
17.5%€158.00€70.00n/a22
Jan ’25€92.00
€112.78
+22.6%
18.3%€158.00€70.00n/a22
Dec ’24€86.02
€114.69
+33.3%
20.5%€182.00€70.00n/a22
Nov ’24€86.69
€116.42
+34.3%
19.9%€182.00€70.00€108.5522
Oct ’24€80.13
€123.35
+53.9%
18.7%€182.00€80.00€122.0022
Sep ’24€84.72
€124.90
+47.4%
17.4%€182.00€80.00€123.0022
Aug ’24€98.35
€129.48
+31.7%
14.9%€175.00€88.00€117.9518
Jul ’24€98.62
€141.10
+43.1%
12.8%€175.00€114.00€105.7517
Jun ’24€102.02
€144.87
+42.0%
9.7%€175.00€126.00€105.6510
May ’24€118.76
€134.25
+13.0%
1.9%€137.00€130.00€105.704

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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