Stock Analysis

JDE Peet's (AMS:JDEP) Has Announced A Dividend Of €0.35

ENXTAM:JDEP
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The board of JDE Peet's N.V. (AMS:JDEP) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of January, with investors receiving €0.35 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 2.8% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for JDE Peet's

JDE Peet's' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Before this announcement, JDE Peet's was paying out 74% of earnings, but a comparatively small 50% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 92.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 38%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
ENXTAM:JDEP Historic Dividend December 12th 2023

JDE Peet's Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. The most recent annual payment of €0.70 is about the same as the annual payment 3 years ago. It's good to see at least some dividend growth. Yet with a relatively short dividend paying history, we wouldn't want to depend on this dividend too heavily.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. JDE Peet's' EPS has fallen by approximately 14% per year during the past three years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

Our Thoughts On JDE Peet's' Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about JDE Peet's' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think JDE Peet's is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for JDE Peet's that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is JDE Peet's not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.