Stock Analysis

Heineken Holding (AMS:HEIO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

ENXTAM:HEIO
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Heineken Holding (AMS:HEIO) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Heineken Holding:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = €3.8b ÷ (€52b - €14b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Heineken Holding has an ROCE of 10.0%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 9.6%.

Check out our latest analysis for Heineken Holding

roce
ENXTAM:HEIO Return on Capital Employed June 12th 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Heineken Holding's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Heineken Holding, check out these free graphs here.

What Can We Tell From Heineken Holding's ROCE Trend?

In terms of Heineken Holding's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 10.0% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 25% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

The Bottom Line

As we've seen above, Heineken Holding's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 3.0% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Heineken Holding does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Heineken Holding that you might be interested in.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heineken Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.