Shell plc

ENXTAM:SHELL Stock Report

Market Cap: €179.3b

Shell Valuation

Is SHELL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHELL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHELL (€29.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€36.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHELL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHELL?

Key metric: As SHELL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SHELL. This is calculated by dividing SHELL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SHELL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12x
EarningsUS$15.64b
Market CapUS$187.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SHELL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SHELL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.7x
857 PetroChina
6.1x-3.9%HK$1.6t
CVX Chevron
15.4x7.8%US$256.7b
TTE TotalEnergies
7.3x-0.1%€118.3b
386 China Petroleum & Chemical
9.8x9.4%HK$763.1b
SHELL Shell
12x4.9%€148.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SHELL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SHELL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHELL 12.0xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SHELL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHELL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHELL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio15.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SHELL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHELL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€29.20
€38.64
+32.4%
8.3%€44.10€31.56n/a16
Dec ’25€30.72
€38.36
+24.9%
8.4%€43.86€31.39n/a16
Nov ’25€31.14
€37.82
+21.5%
7.5%€42.76€33.31n/a16
Oct ’25€30.12
€37.97
+26.0%
8.9%€45.87€32.62n/a16
Sep ’25€32.11
€38.27
+19.2%
8.4%€46.12€32.98n/a15
Aug ’25€33.60
€39.08
+16.3%
8.5%€47.33€33.73n/a15
Jul ’25€33.88
€38.32
+13.1%
7.7%€44.22€33.90n/a15
Jun ’25€33.21
€37.61
+13.3%
8.1%€43.72€33.51n/a15
May ’25€33.74
€36.72
+8.9%
8.9%€44.93€32.00n/a15
Apr ’25€30.96
€35.70
+15.3%
9.7%€44.95€30.30n/a15
Mar ’25€29.45
€35.15
+19.4%
10.4%€44.56€30.04n/a15
Feb ’25€29.67
€35.47
+19.6%
10.0%€44.42€30.21n/a15
Jan ’25€29.80
€34.70
+16.4%
10.5%€42.75€28.39n/a15
Dec ’24€30.38
€34.50
+13.6%
10.0%€42.87€28.47€30.7215
Nov ’24€31.04
€34.53
+11.2%
10.7%€43.96€29.02€31.1415
Oct ’24€30.51
€34.46
+13.0%
9.2%€42.28€29.14€30.1216
Sep ’24€28.97
€33.74
+16.5%
9.3%€41.49€28.60€32.1116
Aug ’24€27.75
€33.36
+20.2%
10.5%€40.94€27.75€33.6018
Jul ’24€27.60
€33.50
+21.4%
9.5%€41.09€28.07€33.8819
Jun ’24€26.57
€33.41
+25.8%
9.3%€38.69€26.76€33.2120
May ’24€28.09
€32.45
+15.5%
8.4%€37.19€27.12€33.7421
Apr ’24€26.49
€32.66
+23.3%
9.9%€39.35€26.03€30.9621
Mar ’24€28.86
€33.28
+15.3%
10.0%€40.58€26.49€29.4520
Feb ’24€26.76
€32.81
+22.6%
10.2%€39.82€25.99€29.6721
Jan ’24€26.48
€33.37
+26.0%
9.7%€40.94€26.60€29.8020
Dec ’23€27.82
€32.94
+18.4%
8.6%€38.13€26.83€30.3820

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shell plc is covered by 78 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Thijs BerkelderABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Alejandro AcostaAlezor Research
Alexandre AndlauerAlphaValue