Stock Analysis

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (AMS:AD) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

ENXTAM:AD
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. (AMS:AD) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize

How Much Debt Does Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Carry?

As you can see below, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize had €6.36b of debt at July 2021, down from €6.67b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of €4.00b, its net debt is less, at about €2.37b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTAM:AD Debt to Equity History September 20th 2021

How Strong Is Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize had liabilities of €13.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of €17.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €4.00b in cash and €1.99b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €24.5b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of €29.1b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize has net debt of just 0.49 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.0 times the interest expense over the last year. On the other hand, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize saw its EBIT drop by 5.7% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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