Stock Analysis

Does Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (AMS:AD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ENXTAM:AD
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. (AMS:AD) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize

How Much Debt Does Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize had €6.84b in debt in April 2022; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €3.76b, its net debt is less, at about €3.08b.

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ENXTAM:AD Debt to Equity History August 3rd 2022

How Strong Is Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize had liabilities of €14.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €18.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €3.76b in cash and €2.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €27.2b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge €26.9b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.61 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.8 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. But the other side of the story is that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize saw its EBIT decline by 3.6% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.