It's not a stretch to say that IMCD N.V.'s (AMS:IMCD) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the Netherlands, where the median P/E ratio is around 17x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
IMCD hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Check out our latest analysis for IMCD
How Is IMCD's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like IMCD's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 7.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 7.7% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.9% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 14% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that IMCD's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From IMCD's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that IMCD currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for IMCD that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than IMCD. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if IMCD might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.