IMCD Valuation

Is IMCD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IMCD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IMCD (€137.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€182.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IMCD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IMCD?

Key metric: As IMCD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IMCD. This is calculated by dividing IMCD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IMCD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.9x
Earnings€280.84m
Market Cap€7.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IMCD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IMCD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
AALB Aalberts
12.3x5.9%€3.8b
LIGHT Signify
10x10.8%€2.7b
FUR Fugro
6.5x3.6%€1.9b
RXL Rexel
10.7x7.7%€7.4b
IMCD IMCD
27.9x8.7%€7.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IMCD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IMCD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IMCD 27.9xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IMCD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IMCD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IMCD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IMCD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IMCD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€137.35
€160.80
+17.1%
14.9%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Nov ’25€146.60
€159.53
+8.8%
15.1%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Oct ’25€154.45
€159.87
+3.5%
15.3%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Sep ’25€147.80
€157.69
+6.7%
15.6%€205.00€120.00n/a15
Aug ’25€131.50
€155.95
+18.6%
15.2%€190.00€116.00n/a15
Jul ’25€129.70
€157.62
+21.5%
14.8%€190.00€116.00n/a15
Jun ’25€139.40
€157.62
+13.1%
14.8%€190.00€116.00n/a15
May ’25€142.25
€158.23
+11.2%
15.4%€200.00€116.00n/a15
Apr ’25€163.35
€157.36
-3.7%
16.0%€200.00€116.00n/a15
Mar ’25€152.05
€145.36
-4.4%
13.3%€178.00€116.00n/a15
Feb ’25€143.50
€144.76
+0.9%
13.0%€178.00€116.00n/a15
Jan ’25€157.55
€143.59
-8.9%
11.8%€175.00€116.00n/a15
Dec ’24€140.75
€143.59
+2.0%
11.8%€175.00€116.00n/a15
Nov ’24€114.00
€143.30
+25.7%
11.8%€175.00€115.00€146.6015
Oct ’24€120.00
€147.77
+23.1%
13.4%€185.00€116.00€154.4515
Sep ’24€126.80
€152.83
+20.5%
12.7%€185.00€116.00€147.8015
Aug ’24€135.75
€160.38
+18.1%
15.1%€200.00€116.00€131.5013
Jul ’24€131.70
€161.54
+22.7%
15.2%€200.00€116.00€129.7013
Jun ’24€141.65
€161.92
+14.3%
15.5%€205.00€116.00€139.4013
May ’24€136.20
€162.75
+19.5%
16.9%€210.00€116.00€142.2512
Apr ’24€150.40
€161.67
+7.5%
17.6%€210.00€116.00€163.3512
Mar ’24€146.50
€157.31
+7.4%
17.6%€200.00€116.00€152.0513
Feb ’24€146.05
€157.31
+7.7%
17.6%€200.00€116.00€143.5013
Jan ’24€133.15
€157.69
+18.4%
17.4%€200.00€116.00€157.5513
Dec ’23€142.85
€160.14
+12.1%
16.6%€200.00€116.00€140.7512
Nov ’23€132.05
€161.23
+22.1%
14.8%€200.00€116.00€114.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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