Aalberts Valuation

Is AALB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AALB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AALB (€36.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€68.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AALB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AALB?

Key metric: As AALB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AALB. This is calculated by dividing AALB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AALB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.2x
Earnings€305.00m
Market Cap€4.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AALB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AALB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.5x
ENVI Envipco Holding
64.4x87.3%€291.3m
LIGHT Signify
10.3x10.5%€2.7b
IMCD IMCD
28.8x8.6%€8.1b
FUR Fugro
6.6x3.7%€2.0b
AALB Aalberts
13.2x5.9%€4.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AALB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AALB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AALB 13.2xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies30PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AALB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AALB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AALB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.2x
Fair PE Ratio11.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AALB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AALB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€36.42
€47.07
+29.2%
8.0%€53.00€41.00n/a7
Nov ’25€33.46
€46.79
+39.8%
14.1%€55.00€34.00n/a7
Oct ’25€35.90
€46.64
+29.9%
15.1%€55.00€34.00n/a7
Sep ’25€35.22
€46.71
+32.6%
14.8%€55.00€34.50n/a7
Aug ’25€34.30
€47.29
+37.9%
15.5%€56.00€34.50n/a7
Jul ’25€38.20
€50.71
+32.8%
14.6%€60.00€39.50n/a7
Jun ’25€43.62
€52.50
+20.4%
15.6%€65.00€40.00n/a7
May ’25€44.92
€52.14
+16.1%
16.6%€65.00€40.00n/a7
Apr ’25€44.59
€50.42
+13.1%
18.3%€65.00€38.00n/a6
Mar ’25€41.83
€47.71
+14.1%
18.0%€65.00€38.00n/a7
Feb ’25€36.73
€46.71
+27.2%
18.8%€65.00€36.00n/a7
Jan ’25€39.26
€47.43
+20.8%
20.4%€65.00€35.00n/a7
Dec ’24€36.50
€47.00
+28.8%
21.0%€65.00€35.00€36.387
Nov ’24€29.39
€47.50
+61.6%
22.2%€65.00€35.00€33.466
Oct ’24€34.68
€51.75
+49.2%
16.8%€65.00€40.00€35.906
Sep ’24€38.37
€52.50
+36.8%
14.9%€65.00€44.50€35.226
Aug ’24€40.87
€52.58
+28.7%
14.9%€65.00€44.50€34.306
Jul ’24€38.53
€54.07
+40.3%
12.9%€65.00€44.50€38.207
Jun ’24€39.76
€54.50
+37.1%
12.8%€65.00€44.50€43.627
May ’24€41.78
€54.92
+31.4%
13.5%€65.00€44.50€44.926
Apr ’24€43.41
€54.92
+26.5%
13.5%€65.00€44.50€44.596
Mar ’24€47.06
€54.92
+16.7%
13.5%€65.00€44.50€41.836
Feb ’24€44.06
€49.67
+12.7%
22.1%€65.00€35.00€36.736
Jan ’24€36.23
€48.60
+34.1%
24.2%€65.00€35.00€39.265
Dec ’23€38.61
€48.60
+25.9%
24.2%€65.00€35.00€36.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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