Gas Malaysia Berhad (KLSE:GASMSIA) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Gas Malaysia Berhad's (KLSE:GASMSIA) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

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Examining Cashflow Against Gas Malaysia Berhad's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2025, Gas Malaysia Berhad had an accrual ratio of 0.32. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of RM42m, which is significantly less than its profit of RM428.0m. Gas Malaysia Berhad shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Gas Malaysia Berhad's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Gas Malaysia Berhad didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Gas Malaysia Berhad's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 30% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Gas Malaysia Berhad (2 shouldn't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Gas Malaysia Berhad's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.