Stock Analysis

Investors Who Bought GD Express Carrier Bhd (KLSE:GDEX) Shares A Year Ago Are Now Up 54%

KLSE:GDEX
Source: Shutterstock

GD Express Carrier Bhd (KLSE:GDEX) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 11% in the last month. But looking back over the last year, the returns have actually been rather pleasing! After all, the share price is up a market-beating 54% in that time.

Check out our latest analysis for GD Express Carrier Bhd

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over the last twelve months, GD Express Carrier Bhd actually shrank its EPS by 32%.

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

We doubt the modest 0.5% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. We think that the revenue growth of 21% could have some investors interested. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KLSE:GDEX Earnings and Revenue Growth December 21st 2020

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling GD Express Carrier Bhd stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that GD Express Carrier Bhd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 55% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 0.8% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with GD Express Carrier Bhd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MY exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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