Stock Analysis

Here's Why Digi.Com Berhad (KLSE:DIGI) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

KLSE:CDB
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Digi.Com Berhad (KLSE:DIGI) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Digi.Com Berhad

How Much Debt Does Digi.Com Berhad Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Digi.Com Berhad had RM2.73b of debt in March 2021, down from RM2.97b, one year before. However, it does have RM217.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM2.52b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:DIGI Debt to Equity History May 10th 2021

How Healthy Is Digi.Com Berhad's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Digi.Com Berhad had liabilities of RM2.54b due within a year, and liabilities of RM4.85b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM217.1m as well as receivables valued at RM1.03b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM6.14b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Digi.Com Berhad has a market capitalization of RM32.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Digi.Com Berhad has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.78. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that Digi.Com Berhad has seen its EBIT plunge 11% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Digi.Com Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Digi.Com Berhad produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On our analysis Digi.Com Berhad's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its EBIT growth rate makes us a little nervous about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Digi.Com Berhad is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Digi.Com Berhad (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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About KLSE:CDB

Celcomdigi Berhad

An investment holding company, provides mobile communication services and related products in Malaysia.

Mediocre balance sheet with limited growth.

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