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Notion VTec Berhad (KLSE:NOTION) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet
Notion VTec Berhad (KLSE:NOTION) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Regardless, last month's decline is barely a blip on the stock's price chart as it has gained a monstrous 368% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Notion VTec Berhad is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.7x, considering almost half the companies in Malaysia's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
See our latest analysis for Notion VTec Berhad
How Has Notion VTec Berhad Performed Recently?
Notion VTec Berhad certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Notion VTec Berhad will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Notion VTec Berhad would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 41% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 27% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 42% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Notion VTec Berhad's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Notion VTec Berhad's P/S Mean For Investors?
Despite the recent share price weakness, Notion VTec Berhad's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It comes as a surprise to see Notion VTec Berhad trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Notion VTec Berhad that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Notion VTec Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:NOTION
Notion VTec Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in design, manufacture, and sale of precision components and tools.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.