Stock Analysis

Is Mynews Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MYNEWS) A Risky Investment?

KLSE:MYNEWS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Mynews Holdings Berhad (KLSE:MYNEWS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Mynews Holdings Berhad

What Is Mynews Holdings Berhad's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Mynews Holdings Berhad had RM87.7m of debt in April 2024, down from RM93.3m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM37.1m, its net debt is less, at about RM50.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:MYNEWS Debt to Equity History August 13th 2024

A Look At Mynews Holdings Berhad's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mynews Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM201.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM171.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of RM37.1m and RM43.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling RM293.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of RM454.0m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Mynews Holdings Berhad's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Mynews Holdings Berhad has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.1 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.4 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. We also note that Mynews Holdings Berhad improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive RM15m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mynews Holdings Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Mynews Holdings Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Mynews Holdings Berhad was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. To be specific, it seems about as good at covering its interest expense with its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Mynews Holdings Berhad's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Mynews Holdings Berhad's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.