The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Asia Brands Berhad (KLSE:ASIABRN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Asia Brands Berhad
What Is Asia Brands Berhad's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Asia Brands Berhad had debt of RM53.6m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from RM64.3m over a year. On the flip side, it has RM20.6m in cash leading to net debt of about RM33.0m.
How Healthy Is Asia Brands Berhad's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Asia Brands Berhad had liabilities of RM55.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM39.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM20.6m in cash and RM27.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM46.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Asia Brands Berhad has a market capitalization of RM161.7m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Asia Brands Berhad has net debt worth 1.8 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.8 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Sadly, Asia Brands Berhad's EBIT actually dropped 6.6% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Asia Brands Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Asia Brands Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Asia Brands Berhad was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. Considering this range of data points, we think Asia Brands Berhad is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Asia Brands Berhad that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About KLSE:ASIABRN
Asia Brands Berhad
An investment holding company, wholesales, retails, and distributes ready-made casual wear, baby and children wear, lingerie and ladies wear, and related accessories primarily in Malaysia.
Excellent balance sheet slight.