Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that UEM Sunrise Berhad (KLSE:UEMS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for UEM Sunrise Berhad
What Is UEM Sunrise Berhad's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 UEM Sunrise Berhad had debt of RM4.09b, up from RM3.39b in one year. However, it also had RM1.11b in cash, and so its net debt is RM2.98b.
A Look At UEM Sunrise Berhad's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that UEM Sunrise Berhad had liabilities of RM2.73b falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM3.37b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM1.11b in cash and RM799.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM4.20b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the RM2.10b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, UEM Sunrise Berhad would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine UEM Sunrise Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year UEM Sunrise Berhad had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 61%, to RM1.1b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While UEM Sunrise Berhad's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at RM65m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through RM107m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with UEM Sunrise Berhad (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KLSE:UEMS
UEM Sunrise Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the township and property development business in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and South Africa.
Reasonable growth potential very low.